PGA Championship 2018 Preview: Odds & Projected Winner

I would keep a close eye on Justin Rose’s status after dropping out of last week’s Invitational for back spasms. He could fly under the radar with low ownership giving him huge potential against the field in GPP, but if he’s not 100% his numbers won’t look this good.

Winner

1. Dustin Johnson – 14.0%
2. Justin Rose – 9.1%
3. Brooks Koepka – 8.2%
4. Justin Thomas – 7.5%
5. Francesco Molinari – 5.4%
6. Rory McIlroy – 4.0%
7. Xander Schauffele – 3.1%
8. Tommy Fleetwood – 2.8%
9. Jason Day – 2.8%
10. Patrick Reed – 2.5%
11. Jordan Spieth – 2.3%
12. Rickie Fowler – 2.0%
13. Tony Finau – 1.6%
14. Kevin Na – 1.6%
15. Henrik Stenson – 1.5%
16. Bryson DeChambeau – 1.4%
17. Kyle Stanley – 1.3%
18. Webb Simpson – 1.3%
19. Emiliano Grillo – 1.2%
20. Bubba Watson – 1.2%
21. Paul Casey – 1.2%
22. Marc Leishman – 1.1%
23. Thorbjorn Olesen – 1.1%
24. Byeong-Hun An – 1.0%
25. Phil Mickelson – 1.0%
26. Patrick Cantlay – 0.9%
27. Jon Rahm – 0.9%
28. Tiger Woods – 0.8%
29. Alexander Noren – 0.6%

Top 10

1. Dustin Johnson – 60.4%
2. Justin Rose – 49.5%
3. Justin Thomas – 37.8%
4. Brooks Koepka – 33.4%
5. Jason Day – 32.5%
6. Francesco Molinari – 32.1%
7. Jon Rahm – 29.1%
8. Rory McIlroy – 24.9%
9. Tommy Fleetwood – 24.9%
10. Rickie Fowler – 23.4%
11. Henrik Stenson – 23.1%
12. Patrick Reed – 21.3%
13. Paul Casey – 20.6%
14. Tiger Woods – 20.0%
15. Tony Finau – 19.6%
16. Jordan Spieth – 18.8%
17. Patrick Cantlay – 17.8%
18. Webb Simpson – 17.7%
19. Bryson DeChambeau – 16.1%
20. Xander Schauffele – 15.5%
21. Phil Mickelson – 14.1%
22. Bubba Watson – 14.1%
23. Marc Leishman – 14.0%
24. Alexander Noren – 13.6%
25. Kevin Na – 13.5%
26. Thorbjorn Olesen – 13.3%
27. Kyle Stanley – 13.0%
28. Emiliano Grillo – 11.7%
29. Byeong-Hun An – 10.1%

Make the Cut

1. Justin Rose – 96.3%
2. Paul Casey – 94.6%
3. Henrik Stenson – 93.7%
4. Ryan Fox – 91.6%
5. Brooks Koepka – 91.1%
6. Justin Thomas – 89.0%
7. Dustin Johnson – 88.7%
8. Alexander Noren – 88.4%
9. Rickie Fowler – 87.9%
10. Jason Day – 87.3%
11. Beau Hossler – 87.2%
12. Thomas Pieters – 86.9%
13. Chris Kirk – 86.8%
14. Tony Finau – 86.6%
15. Tommy Fleetwood – 86.6%
16. Patrick Cantlay – 86.5%
17. Francesco Molinari – 85.2%
18. Phil Mickelson – 85.0%
19. Brandon Stone – 83.0%
20. Patrick Reed – 82.7%
21. Kiradech Aphibarnrat – 82.0%
22. Zach Johnson – 81.8%
23. Tiger Woods – 81.3%
24. Bryson DeChambeau – 81.2%
25. Kevin Na – 81.0%
26. Charley Hoffman – 81.0%
27. Marc Leishman – 80.8%
28. Branden Grace – 80.8%
29. Charles Howell III – 80.4%
30. Louis Oosthuizen – 80.4%
31. Keegan Bradley – 80.3%
32. Ian Poulter – 80.0%
33. Pat Perez – 79.7%
34. Jamie Lovemark – 79.5%
35. Julian Suri – 79.3%
36. Hao-Tong Li – 79.3%
37. Webb Simpson – 79.1%
38. Jon Rahm – 78.9%
39. Byeong-Hun An – 78.8%
40. Daniel Berger – 78.3%
41. Matt Kuchar – 78.1%
42. Brian Harman – 78.0%
43. Emiliano Grillo – 77.8%
44. Gary Woodland – 76.6%
45. Si Woo Kim – 75.9%
46. Jordan Spieth – 75.2%
47. Russell Henley – 75.2%
48. Paul Dunne – 74.3%
49. Tyrrell Hatton – 74.2%
50. Jhonattan Vegas – 74.0%

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